Written on Thursday, 15 July 2010 21:35
Like Andrew Demetriou's recent "everything's OK at Etihad" comments, I'm not sure if the AFL is serious about introducing conferences in 2012, when Gold Coast and Greater Western Sydney make it an 18-team league.
AFL COO Gillon McLachlan rolled the story out during the split round, right in the middle of the World Cup, so - as my BPL colleague Ashley Browne pointed out at the time - perhaps it was just a PR distraction of sorts.
After all, the AFL is asking for feedback from fans, and when's the last time anyone listened to fans?
Still, an 18-team league is bordering on English Premier League territory - where supporting teams 11 through 16 is like being stuck in the Horse Latitudes - so it might make sense to consider splitting things up.
Conferences (or "Divisions," please not "Pools") are de rigueur in US sports, but unlike what might happen in the AFL, they were not created just for the hell of it.
Dividing leagues was done for practical reasons; originally it made travel easier, especially in the pre-airplane days. And while travel is still a consideration, a split league also makes scheduling easier, helps sustain rivalries, and in general, makes a big league simpler to follow.
So how will the AFL do it? What justification can they use for placing teams in conferences?
Here are some options:
Geographically-Based Conferences
Admittedly, this is difficult, with nine AFL teams based in the same city, but you could have a "Melbourne" conference and a "Rest of Australia" conference. I'm sure the Melbourne teams would be thrilled, but the travel demands on the non-Victorian conference would be brutal. And how would Geelong feel about being excluded from the Melbourne conference?
Melbourne Rest of Australia
Carlton Adelaide
Collingwood Brisbane
Essendon Fremantle
Hawthorn Geelong
Melbourne Gold Coast
Nth Melbourne GWS
Richmond Pt Adelaide
St Kilda Sydney
W Bulldogs West Coast
Rivalry-Based Conferences
What about rivalry-based conferences, like the NFL has tried to do? In the NFC East Division, the New York Giants, Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Redskins are all traditional rivals located within 200 miles of each other. Add the Dallas Cowboys - from another time zone, but a traditional rival - and you've got one of the best divisions in all of sport.
If the AFL were to follow suit, you'd think that Carlton, Collingwood, Essendon, Hawthorn and Richmond would all have to be in the same conference and play each other twice every year. Again, would that be agreeable to anyone but the Big Six?
East South North-West
Carlton Adelaide Brisbane
Collingwood Geelong Fremantle
Essendon Nth Melbourne Gold Coast
Hawthorn Port Adelaide GWS
Melbourne St Kilda Sydney
Richmond W Bulldogs West Coast
Generic Three Conferences
It's more likely that the AFL will try to create conferences that are a little bit of everything. In other words, splitting up the interstate clubs, not loading up with too many big Melbourne teams in one conference and making sure the two new clubs aren't hopelessly overmatched.
Three conference of six teams each would be more appealing to me than two conferences of nine. But keep in mind that as someone raised on US sports, this doesn't bother me as much as it would a Victorian footy fan.
In this scenario, you could keep the 22 rounds by playing each team in your conference twice (ten games) and each team in the other conferences once (12 games).
Conference 1 Conference 2 Conference 3
Carlton Brisbane Adelaide
Collingwood Essendon Geelong
Nth Melbourne Fremantle Gold Coast
Pt Adelaide GWS Hawthorn
Sydney Richmond Melbourne
West Coast St Kilda W Bulldogs
Finals: The top two in each conference plus two "wild card" teams with the next best records.
Generic Two Conferences
I don't like this as much, simply because nine is a strange, uneven number to have in your conference.
There are two options for fixtures: Play each team in your conference twice, and every other team once for 25 rounds. Or play each team in your conference twice, then six games against selected opponents for 22 rounds.
Conference 1 Conference 2
West Coast Fremantle
Gold Coast Brisbane
Sydney GWS
Port Adelaide Adelaide
Collingwood Essendon
Carlton Hawthorn
Melbourne Richmond
Nth Melbourne W Bulldogs
St Kilda Geelong
Finals: The top four in each conference, or top three in each conference with two wild cards (next best records, regardless of conference).
These are just a few ideas. I'm sure longtime footy followers have their own opinions. I'd love to hear some of them!
For what it's worth, here are some American sports and how their "conferences", and playoffs, work:
National Football League
Teams: 32
Conferences: Two (AFC and NFC), with eight divisions of four teams
Playoffs: 12 teams (38% of the league makes playoffs)
National Basketball Assocation
Teams: 30
Conferences: Two (Eastern and Western), with six divisions of five teams
Playoffs: 16 teams (53%)
National Hockey League
Teams: 30
Conferences: Two (Eastern and Western), with six divisions of five teams
Playoffs: 16 teams (53%)
Major League Baseball
Teams: 30
Leagues: Two distinct leagues (American and National), with six divisions of 4-6 teams
Playoffs: 8 teams (27%)
Major League Soccer
Teams: 16
Conferences: Two (Eastern and Western), with eight teams in each
Playoffs: 8 teams (50%)
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